Examining the potential expenses involved in the Vikings’ decision to trade up for a quarterback.
With recent moves, it’s evident that Kwesi Adofo-Mensah is aggressively pursuing the Minnesota Vikings’ quarterback of the future in the 2024 NFL Draft. Acquiring a second pick in the first round from the Houston Texans indicates a willingness to make significant moves to secure one of the top four quarterbacks.
However, trading up requires finding a team willing to move back, which may be challenging as the top three teams in the draft also need quarterbacks. Despite this, Adofo-Mensah is likely to pursue a trade, so let’s analyze the potential cost for the Vikings.
Using the modernized Rich Hill trade chart to estimate draft pick values, the Vikings currently possess 683 points worth of picks, including their selections at #11, #23, and others. With no second or third-round picks this year and having already traded their 2025 second-rounder, they might need to utilize future picks if they want to trade up. Typically, a first-round pick this year equates to a second-round pick next year in terms of value, so let’s add 130 points for their 2025 first-rounder.
Assuming they need to reach at least #4 or potentially #5 to secure their desired quarterback, the trade value at #4 (491 points) should be attainable with their two first-round picks. However, aiming higher, like targeting the #3 pick held by the New England Patriots (514 points), might require additional negotiation but still likely wouldn’t necessitate dipping into 2025 picks.
If they aim for the #2 pick held by the Washington Commanders (717 points), it’s probable they’ll need to involve 2025 picks. Even with this year’s third-rounder, they’d fall short, possibly requiring their 2025 first-rounder to bridge the gap.
In theory, adhering to similar trade charts across the NFL, the Vikings should manage to trade up without compromising too many future selections. Ideally, they’d retain as many picks as possible while securing their quarterback. However, it’s also possible they opt to focus on accumulating talent and pursue a quarterback outside the top four.
Exciting times await Vikings fans, with the quarterback position set to be resolved in just one month.
